I just want to make sure I understand things correctly. If there's a break above the channel (that last longer than an hour), then we're in a rally, and prices will likely go quite a bit higher. Is that right? On the other hand, if there's a break below the lower trend line, then we'll see a prices go down significantly. Am I getting this right?
All I can comment on is what constitutes a break, but yes, that's my understanding of S3052's analysis.
Incidentally, it's not so much that the break above lasts more than hour - simply that when one time period ends the price is above it. The price could, say, go above the channel at 1 minute past the hour, then fall back below at 59 minutes past, and that wouldn't be a break. On the other hand, if the price went above at 59 minutes past - and remained there for >1 minute - then that would be a break. Again, this is just my understanding of technical analysis and I am by no means knowledgeable.