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    Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26850110 times)
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    JayJuanGee
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    May 07, 2025, 03:38:06 AM

    <snip>And of COURSE we front ran nation states!!!  Of course we did!  Stupid nation states.
    On this topic I have thoughts...  So. OBVIOUSLY.  As in OBVIOUSLY... we are seeing large purchases by various entities.  

    But empty blocks.
    So,  I have been saying for a while (possibly starting a little early) that these sorts of purchases are not happening on exchange in the open.  But rather lots of Bitcoin being sold by OTC desks and then bundled into single (but LARGE) transactions.  Things like this:

    Say you are a 50 year old cypherpunk In 2010.    Or maybe the family member of one who already passed.  And you hold THOUSANDS of Bitcoin.  The game is quite different for you than it might be for the average "pleb".  You can sell  4295 bitcoin today and finance quite the luxurious life.  In fact for more than just you.  And perhaps you have that many behind as well... knowing that in time that other half will be worth orders of magnitude more than what you just sold.

    So your progeny can live as kings... and you can reap a kingly fortune for the life you have left.  (long live the king... really)
    But here's the thing.  And I am likely early here as well...

    Eventually these kings will run out of ammo.
    I am not the brightest bulb in the WO.  In fact... far from it.  Do I need to spell out what happens after the kings have settled the first round?

    I imagine not... but let me know because I am willing to keep blathering to a receptive audience.
    Well, the entity is transferring FROM Coinbase, not to it, so most likely a whale withdrawing to another account/wallet and not selling.
    The rest..sure, some OGs are "stupidly" selling, perhaps.
    I guess the number being close to six digists is like an aphrodisiac for a sell by them, assuming a buy (for less that $1) or mine in 2010.
    It must be hard to hodl when you are up almost 100000X (made a mil on each $10 invested, lol) and overall situation is, perhaps, sub-optimal (or at least this is the prevalent "vibe").
    That Fidelity guy (Peter Lynch) was always suggesting to take profits at 10x..so they are "overdue".

    It can be difficult to imagine having 4,000 or more coins, and surely a guy can sell fractions of his stash at various points in time based on a bird in hand is better than two in the bush, and it may not matter very much if most of it is profits.  I have layed out quite a few scenarios where guys can be selling decently large chunks of his stash at various points in time and not really ever run out.. surely one or them is 10% for every doubling, but even selling 25% for every doubling is not necessarily going to meaningfully deplete stashes that might be several thousand coins.

    Sure, the overall wealth is shrinking in terms of bitcoin, yet even the guy who sells 25% every time it doubles, the value of his BTC stash is still growing at least equal to the amount being sold... surely we still get a better compounding effect if the amount sold is less than 10% for every doubling, and yeah, some folks are not interested in building generational wealth.

    Would love to see it go to 105k this week
    I’ll remain cautious until we hit $110K. That’s when I’ll switch to starting to feel euphoria again. At $120K I will probably enter a period of disbelief. If we go as high as $200K this year I may shed actual tears. Anything above that and I would probably be paralyzed by what I was witnessing.

    I end by saying we rise 69% over the next 69 days.

    Going paralyzed is not a good reaction.  I recommend against it.
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