I'm about to do a complete overhaul of this, I have an analyst working for me. The resolution will be daily, with trendline parameters also constantly updating. Please calculate the current trend using the following parameters, they are very close to correct:
I compiled the new trendline, the parameters of which are:
y = 0,003073x - 2,909514
R² = 0,922424
Here "x" is the number of days passed since and including 3.1.2009. "y" is the log of the prevailing usd/btc. I had to go to use Bitstamp solely for price data since 28.12.2013, because Mt.Gox was not reliable anymore due to its problems and also BTC China has its own problems.
The data is no longer monthly. Daily averages were used.
We are now at $577 in the trendline. Because the current price is higher, we are 0.138 units above the trend.
The trend will reach $800 in 9.3.2014 and $1,000,000 in 11.12.2016.
Today Feb 11, we are at $668 in the trendline.