Cardinals gave that one away, so many dumb penalties throughout the entire game.

-the field goal for Seattle at the end first half was a gift, thanks to ARI player getting injured and stopping the clock SEA +3pts
-safety for holding (that was right after a grounding penalty on Murray) SEA +2pts
-the most ridiculous one was the taunting penalty, instead of a long FG attempt, SEA got a first down, and two plays later a TD SEA +4pts

and there you have it 9pts out of nothing.

Seahawks looked a little bit better with Hyde, they should be getting Carson soon, without a running game (play-action out of it) they are extremely predictable.

I was able to get the UNDER, had another betbuilder bet hit, and one just short, needed Murray to score a rush TD, it's not like they didn't run a play for him at 2nd and 2, but why did he choose to go outside on the play is beyond me, the middle was wide open...anyway, decent start of the week, let's hope we don't get rekt on Sunday again. 

I think that is why we saw all the money come for the Cardinals to cover the +3. I don't like seeing that even if it is because a player is ruled out as the opposite happens more times then not and with the record the Seahawks have at home I still think they were tough to beat.

That was one game the smart money stayed on the sidelines.

I think I'll go back to rooting for the Raiders while the Pats rebuild for the next decade.

Did you play that in early markets already ? Because it's -3.5 now, which looks about right, but +1 is nice value.

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Taking my chances on Atlanta ML today, which is mainly based on what I saw from Winston last week and I was shocked how bad (maybe rusty) he looked. Sean Payton saw this as well, so Hill will be the starter today. I love this guy and all the things he can do, but he is most valuable as the role player he used to be imo. So my guess is, that we will see some good portion of Winston as well. In general the Saints aren't that strong this season, which is also because of Brees getting old. They are doing fine record-wise being 7-2, but there were some games which saw them struggling a lot against mediocre opposition. Falcons have found their rhythm lately and the defense has improved a lot. I think this will be a close one and with a couple of INT's from Winston, I like the odds for the Falcons.

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If Bridgewater is out, then I don't see how Carolina will be able to beat the Lions with Grier/Walker while still being CMC-less. Stafford has some thumb injury as well, but he will start. Around 1.80 for Lions atm.

Chargers and Vikings should have no problems in getting the better of Jets/Cowboys, but odds are low.

GB@IND should be a good one, where I see a lot of points being scored, but the line is high. And my bold pick would be the Jags to beat the Steelers, lol.

I've decided to give my prop bets a rest this week, instead going with Washington ml + Browns ml and Patriots ml + Lions ml, both tickets over 3 total odds.

Wentz had zero interceptions and zero lost fumbles vs. Giants last week which is highly uncharacteristic of him, Browns won't have Myles Garrett (covid) but i'm sure they will bring enough pressure against Eagles awful OL.

Stephon Gilmore is available for the Patriots after missing a few games, decent boost for their defense, a good matchup against Fuller/Cooks.

I'm all in on Washington in of my fantasy leagues, Alex Smith, McLaurin, and J.D. McKissic have to all deliver for me, Mixon on IR.

Taking the Browns as they're undefeated at home and Patriots since they showed some signs of life after that upset against the Ravens.

For the 5pm matches i'm leaning on the Dolphins and maybe buy the points down to -2.5.

Edit : My Patriots bet looking dead already after that shutdown during the second quarter. Wentz on the other hand making the Browns look good at the moment.

Payton said he wants to see what he has in Hill. As you said he had a decent game, but this Falcons team was no benchmark today, so he would be wise to not draw too many conclusions out of todays performance (and he won't, since he is wise^^). Saints would have lost to a lot of teams today imo, but ATL was pretty toothless and Saints D had a good game. They will play @Broncos next week and this will be a different game for Hill. He won't get away with a lot of things he got away with today.

I personally don't see Hill being a starting QB in NFL, but you never know, he might grow into this challenge. I really liked the duo of Brees/Hill, was fun to watch, and would like the Saints to keep it this way - with another QB, whose name will not be Winston imo. He is only 26, but was never that good to begin with and it's rare to see a QB coming out of mediocrity just like that. If he is able to otoh, Payton did a good job then

Yeah thats a shame.  This kid is real good was going to have one of the best statistical rookie quarterback years.  Never like to see someone get injured like that.  Hope he recovers well comes back next year just as strong as he was this year.

The Giants definately have an edge on the redskins as they've beaten them twice already.  I still don't know who is going to come of this division but there is a REAL chance that someone only has 5 wins and takes the division, 6 tops is all i can see.  Unless someone gets much better.  Giants still have a game against the Bengals and Cowboys that are both winnable.  Eagles are a mess and cant get out of their own way.  Cowboys are a mystery and the redskins look on the right side of things with Alex Smith running the team now.  Haskins looks like a complete waste of a pick at this point

Cowboys in my eyes have the easiest remaining schedule with 3 divisional games (two of those at home), Bengals, banged-up 49ers, and the Ravens.
Eagles next 4 vs. Seahawks, Packers, Saints, and Cardinals...i can't give them anything but four losses, and they are not benching Wentz, best case scenario Eagles finish the season with 5/10/1.
Giants have a bunch of tough games remaining but if they can win against the Browns or Cardinals at home, 6 and 10 is doable.
Washington has to win on Thanksgiving first and maybe hope the Giants finish with 5 and 10.

I want to see either NYG/WAS make the playoffs, if the Eagles somehow make it with 5/10/1, i pledge to not watch a single game until Super Bowl LV.. fuck Wentz


Good luck with your bet, Goff was trash vs. Miami in their last away game, not sure what to expect from him, that's why i'm skipping this one, also want to finish the week with a positive record, took the Raiders with 2 extra pts on the spread with decent odds yesterday: