Yeah but nothing beats that monday night eagles back breaker on the spread.  Seattle up 14 with about a minute to go and favored by 6.5, no way they lose on the spread....then eagles desperation drive and for some wierd reason they went for 2 pts instead of extra point and made it only losing by 6.  I read someone lost $500k on that play.  That was one of the worst bad beats of the year

Probably some uncertainty about Allens ankle, which he injured a bit against the Chargers; he looked fine the rest of the game though. Adrenaline always helps in such a situation, the severity of the injury you only realize the day(s) after. It's said to be not bad, but you never know (what other punters know^^).

Main reason though is imo the 49ers getting more healthy on defense and this showed already in the Rams game. Offensively they are still struggling, but if their defense clicks, it's always hard to beat them. Bills are still a bit overrated and/or not super convincing, so with a FF or INT here and there, the odds look ok-ish to me.

Picking the Titans handicap (-4) for this week it opened at -6.5 now it's down to -4 might go down even more before kickoff. Expecting they'll win by at least 6 or more since the Browns nearly lost to the Jags.

For my survivor picks i'm going for a safe play and burn the Chiefs as they'll face the Broncos later today. I'm getting nervous heading in to the last four weeks it seems way to easy.

Apart from the obvious one, i.e. the Colts, I could imagine the Jets pulling an upset. NYJ odds are super low imo, since I don't think they even want to win, so something fishy going on there. Maybe it's because the Raiders are usually poor in early games at the east coast. If the odds were higher, I would probably try my luck, but around 4-ish isn't enough for me, I would want 8.

I am not very inspired in general today. Was staring at the odds for quite some time, without finding anything to bet on with confidence. So will just play Titans ML and the over 51.0 in Vikings game to not get too bored. And maybe a little bit of Cardinals ML later, although the H2H looks horrible for them.

Yikes, that's really balls to the wall there and I wish you good luck. That's the thing about upsets: nobody sees them coming! Maybe we're due for a week of few upsets for once.


Did it get moved from today to Monday or what happened? Whatever happened explains why I couldn't find the odds last night. It's up there now though: line looks to be about Steelers -6.5. The Washington ML for this game is ~3.45x, which I think would make for an exciting bet. This is one upset I'd like to see happen: the team without a name defeats the only undefeated team.

If I win today's game (Miami needs 2 more points or 4 more yards and I'll be up) I'm gonna put a little on Was. ML.

We had this discussion the other week about players tanking, being told to tank by the coaches, GM's etc. And if you watch the last TD-play from the Raiders, it's crystal clear that the Jets didn't want to win this one.

3rd & 10 on the NYJ46, 13 sec left, no TO left for LV. Here you normally play my beloved prevent defense (and it makes sense there), cover the sidelines and allow plays through the middle, secondary stands deep-ish. What do the Jets do ? They send 7 in a low-effort blitz and even have the safety spying on Carr - as if he would or even could run 46 yards All 3 CB's had to play man-to-man et voilá the hail mary found its target.


I placed a bet on the Giants at HT, so SEA win at least should be safe


During losing runs I often had the idea of just doing my normal analyses and then just bet against them. But never had the guts to go through with it in the end

I like Washington in this game, I'm actually surprised to find the odds so high against them.  Their defense is stout, and now they finally have a real quarterback.  And like you said, the Steelers looked off last week.  I believe the Steelers have been skating by on an easy schedule.  This year's NFC adversaries are the East, and the south for the AFC.  Not the toughest divisions.  The only team with a winning record they've beaten by more than 7 points was Cleveland in week 6.

Did sportsbet.io presently remove the betting for quarterback passing yards? I made a bet on this maybe only 2 weeks ago.

In any case, there are many injuries for San Francisco. The passing yards for Josh Allen might be good for over?

That one really bugged me.  I put a small wager on the Jets in the early 4th, and was counting my winnings with less than two minutes left.  All they needed was one first down, just ONE FIRST DOWN!  Ugh!

The Chiefs game really surprised me, I really didn't expect the Denver defense to make Patrick Mahomes' life so difficult.