Cracking down on Bitcoin is very simple. All you need to do is outlaw it due to 'extremely high levels of illicit use'.
It is a valid theory but also I can't help but see this scenario as shutting down lots of businesses with a total worth in the billions in most countries. They won't be only cracking down on bitcoin. For example in US there is already big exchanges like Coinbase and Gemeni, different mining pools and farms like Marathon Digital, blockchain analysis companies, payment processors like BitPay, investment companies, even banks and a lot more. It is extremely difficult to suddenly decide to shut them all down.
Not to mention the US government (and possibly other govs) is using bitcoin (and Tether) for illicit activities. Cracking down on bitcoin would significantly limit their own operations specially on social media.
That is indeed a nice counter-argument against cencership on Bitcoin.
What seems much more likely to me is a "smart-approach" - if layer1 privacy on a protocol level were to happen (as far as I am imformed) it would need a hardfork. - So it shouldn't be to difficult for big states to "convince" miners to not go with the privacy-update, because this chain will be made illegal to use.
Quite certainly, still a big number of people will switch to the privacy chain, but I am doubtful this will be the majority. Even if, it would create a big split in the Bitcoin ecosystem.
So, in the long run, privacy can only be ensured if it remains a niche subject, enjoyed by a minority, who hopes not to get 'discovered' or not to become too large?
No. It should be ensured if it stops being a niche subject, and that requires education. If people don't care about their privacy,
I'm not going to I
can't enforce them do. Leave the technical stuff asides for a sec. As long as society is consisted by mostly people who either don't care about their privacy or don't want
the others to have privacy, then enforcing privacy is only going to form niche. On the other hand, optional privacy fits us all better.
Well spoken on the education part. That is the unfortunate truth, right now only a minority of people is aware of the value of privacy.
I mean, we have a state of over 1 billion people successfully trying to undermine any digital privacy of their citizens. Other western countries have more liberties but technology is faster than education and legislation, so it is a race that most people are losing right now.