ofc you are not santa, 50 usd is a nice affiliate commission but this is a quite hard product to sell since most ppl who can open a account are outside US and US population is more used to buy or hold gold compared to EU 

Yes, and yes, maybe 5,000 years old. That's why many likes it worldwide, not just USAian gold bugs.
BTW: that restriction is just another little alarm bell that says "get the hell out of Dodge until you can".

[edit] speaking of alarm bells: Department Of Homeland Security to Scan Payment Cards at Borders and Airports

United States have long had to declare aggregated cash and other monetary instruments exceeding $10,000. Now, under a proposed amendment to the Bank Secrecy Act, FinCEN (Financial Crimes Enforcement Network) will also require travelers to declare the value of prepaid cards that they are carrying, known now as “tangible prepaid access devices.”

Expected to be finalized by the end of this year, the cross-border reporting modifications stem from a broader October 2011 definition of payment methods and form factors that replaced the term “stored value” with the term “prepaid access” in an effort to more accurately describe the process of accessing funds held by a payment provider. http://www.forbes.com/sites/jonmatonis/2012/11/07/department-of-homeland-security-to-scan-payment-cards-at-borders-and-airports/

Don't tell them or they will seize it at the border.

This is the same thing that's happening with gold, silver, and numerous other real assets. In addition to the visible volume at the familiar channels, there is high volume accumulation occurring through private exchange methods. What can't be seen is often more important than what can.

If Gox is representative of less than 80% and TC is the #2/3 exchange by volume, that means supply is short and demand is high. There's also no way of knowing how many local exchangers are conducting transactions at high capacity and/or volume. The effects of OTC and dark pools are not immediately apparent, and when they finally do manifest, the changes can be... substantial.

Gold at $3,000+ and Bitcoin over $30? Easily possible, even highly likely. The question remains: which one first?

I've been thinking: A high volume of transactions can be made off-gox so to speak. If you have enough funds, why not for example push the price down on gox (for example push down $1 costing you -say- BTC 50,000) and keep it there for a day while acquiring BTC 100,000 off-gox first, then the rest on mtgox itself to drive price back up again to roughly where you started, then slowly sell if you want to get back to your same level of fiat => you have more bitcoins now: profit.

I'm not sure. What I meant was: push down mtgox-price by selling btc on mtgox (everyone still looks at mtgox for price), then wait for "crowd to accept new price" and buy btc as much as you can on intersango, bitcoin.de, localbitcoins.com, #bitcoin-otc, and any other place that doesn't subsequently run to gox to re-buy what they just sold to you, so without moving mtgox price up again (keep mtgox low by selling more BTC on mtgox if necessary).

After you've done your shopping, let the mtgox market correct to original price (hope it doesn't stick at the lower price)

Yes, that's the potential. Official price pushed down; actual supply obtained through alternative methods at a discount, leading to shortages. Whether any large interests are doing it, and to what extent, can be very difficult to ascertain.

• Beat the grass to startle the snakes (everyone selling on a waterfall price decline).
• As selling volume rises, start buying back
• Wait patiently for price to rise above the average buy cost
• Repeat until failure, then retreat to a higher price point where the process can be restarted

There is key resistance at about $12.60 which, once broken, will result in a quick ride to the $15 level. I expect significant resistance there, but with increasing demand it should fall relatively quickly, perhaps within a month or two. After the $15 point, there really isn't much but air to the 2011 bubble highs. A doubling would be nice to see, and since momentum almost invariably overshoots, we might see as much as 20-30% higher than $30 per bitcoin before it falls back to retest the breakout.

Only two things are holding back Bitcoin right now: general awareness, and ease-of-use. When those start to fall, whether the network is capable of handling it or not, growth will be more explosive than the wild ride in 2011. Bitcoin is certainly the ideal vehicle for this kind of activity now, but anyone who thinks it's the only asset these kind of events will occur in needs to think again.

but what about possible hostile legislation ?

if BTC is declared a terrorist tool, or money laundering vehicle, or whatnot ?

threat of this is the biggest weight against price explosion, imo.