<<  >> (p.191)
    Author Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.  (Read 2032328 times)
    miscreanity
    Legendary
    *
    Offline Offline

    Activity: 1316
    Merit: 1005


    View Profile
    December 06, 2012, 08:18:15 PM
     #3801

    miscreanity:  first of all, you need to back those graphs out another 10 yrs like the one's i've presented.   and then you'll see a topping pattern if not an outright decline in the charts you've presented.

    Now you want to take a broader look, after ridiculing gold-proponents for looking at long-term charts? The 'topping' may be due to changes in calculation methodologies, as well as the inability of capturing all relevant data. An argument could just as easily be made that this is simply a mid-trend plateau.

    Consider this: if the derivative-related debt has declined to meet traditional debt levels, that means there's probably room to expand again.

    The decline in derivatives and securitisation is primarily in the US. Every other region has either remained consistent or significantly increased issuance. That counter-flow is picking up the slack and looks to be on a trajectory to exceed old highs.

    and the other major problem is that you're forgetting that the USD is the world's reserve currency.  these countries aren't going anywhere in terms of credit creation if the US isn't providing it.  remember Triffin's Dilemma?

    The Triffin dilemma is a death knell for the dollar's current incarnation; either the dollar gets revalued, or it dies. That's positive for non-debt assets. Why do you think so many nations are scrambling for real assets and resources? No dependency on the dollar! This is write-off season, so the dollar will get a bump, but it's as temporary as it gets.

    As for the USD being the world's reserve currency, that's only in name today. It's being assaulted from every front, and there's nothing to keep it in power beyond political hot air and grandiose posturing of an over-extended military.
Page 190
Viewing Page: 191