Bitcoin interest rates are higher (or should be) because bitcoin is traded in all the margin trading pairs. Monero is trading only against bitcoin in margin trading.
Therefore it is expected that the interest rate of Monero is way lower than the interest rate of bitcoin.

Bitcoin's marketcap is also much higher than all other cryptos combined. So Bitcoin's interest rate on Poloniex can only remain high if you assume exessive use of margin trading; Pumpers buying more Altcoins on Poloniex than reasonable, which lenders didnt notice yet.

Philosophically interesting thought!
I was just answering on technical analysis - and generally all past combined is more important than the price of the day/week, especially if there were no big news these days. Prices are assumed and idealized to be transparent and to be close to a well informed/reasonable consenus. Long term averages just show the current state free from short-term hype/fud/pump/dump.

Yes! Yet i was watching live at the high volume candles and saw some bitcoin buy orders with 50-250 BTC each jump disappear a lot
The Major dropping candles had less volume than it seemed to require minutes earlier.
I think a drop below 0.00321, including even a momentary one is very likely soon,  which is why betting closes after few day.

I meant to chose the price and long duration, so that it is almost too easy to believe in them and few people bet NO,
besides if the bet can reach some public exposure - then it challenges pump&dumpers to pay more NO bets than YES bets - and make their scheme a little less profitable.
In this sense I think such predictions/futures can improve(balance out) markets and prevent some manipulation or hystery.

Below 320? I doubt it. xmr is evolving fast and there is more good stuff ahead. people are starting to see this and are more confident in holding for long term. atleast this is why I'm not even thinking about selling yet. I'm adding on dips, but I'm not gambling with my stash and selling hoping to buy back cheaper.

I don't think you can do effective TA with the chart zoomed out to the very beginning lol. Focus on a more recent period, since volume has been at a whole new level this year.

I meant using the 440k stash to support the price. I am fairly sure the reason there has always been an heavily weighted long:short ratio on finex for btc is because miners use their coins as long collateral.

You could do the same. If you are sufficiently large as a whale then you can move the market upwards with little or no fear of a bigger whale dumping on you. Timed around key technical landmarks for the coin and you can directly help to upsize the market cap.

sure! you can say that about several.
- How did monero change in the last 7 days?

Simply,
vertical price movements are not sustainable! Spikes retract without news big enough to justify more than a portion of them.  (insider trading is unlikely for this open project?)

Yes, several cryptos gained worth starting in January/Feburary. Dash, Bitshares, Factom, Counterparty and so on doubled in price. Ethereum and Maidsafe gained most since i assume people are interested in biggest ones that represent the novelties of smart contracts and peer2peer internet. Yet all remain volatile now, especially those showing unnatrual volume through margin trading etc.
- So did Monero. It reached almost 3 times the price in December/January and stayed near for some weeks.  
1 week ago though the price and volume went up further and too fast

Like others Monero is in the top 20 since a while and it (CryptoNight) represents some unique approach to reach more anonymous transactions and is meant for mining by
CPUs/GPUs only (through requiring lots of expensive cache memory resulting in low hash rates).  Some enthusiasm, some fear/sceptics/dust.
- Yes, Pumpers rely on some real basis.
 Why couldn't Monero rise 4x? like Maidsafe did (as of now)
Monero has no popularily stunning novelty, but rather interesting to think about (is anonymity better? is gpu mining more democratic?),  Miners/botnets and people/causes seeking to operate anonymously all of which is a narrower niche, so for now 2-3 times the price seems good enough to join the others that moved up.  
Other Cryptonite currencies did not move up much yet. So there are funds missing in the remaining Crpytonite economy to catch up, before part of the rise could be considered sustainable. And it is reasonable to assume, these days, the spike is pending to turn.  While Hystery/Pumps both start from something real, they can't last very long and those people gain the most, who decide the exact dates to start and to turn back, followed by the exchanges/fees, while most others are just losing from their gambling or being pushed into something unexpected.
- If a Price rises moderately it remains higher sooner and less energy is wasted.  If you are interested in Monero's success you will have doubt about the price move this week. Even a steady 100% a year looks very horiziontal on a 1 week chart.

on 24th March as soon as  this https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/blog/azure-blockchain-update-7/ was published, price of Monero gained 15%.  


I do suggest you next time to read this thread, before making any moves.

Generally that is not some brilliant news ( apparently Monero team did almost no effort to achieve that), but price act strange on news. Most strange was reaction on news that Monero will be listed on Mintpal in June 2014. Price rose 5 times to 0.01+ Why i say was strange is because on that exchange was never any significant volume and latter owners robbed their clients and run with the coins. Opposite of that was New year of 2016 when was released Monero 0.9.0, code name "Hydrogen Helix". That was what everyone was waiting for more then a year. and if you check exchanges, this news did nothing. Monero started rising a month after it.

Looks to me you're just talking your own book.

exactly, thats it!

I just bought 900 additional XMR and they were insta-lent. Thank you for borrowing my Moneros. 60 days at discounted interest rate so the borrower got "good deal"... However, when the repayment arrives, I think he has to pay more for those Moneros.

Yes unfortunately I was unable to lend them for better rates.  
I agree that shorting is a pain in the short run but in the long run it is bullish to have outstanding short positions.
The combination of lowering emission and an open short position at interest is a financial suicide for the shorter as he has to purchase the initial capital borrowed + interests. Therefore, in the long run, high interest rates are extremely bullish for Monero or any other coin.
It is like the following: if there are plenty of opportunities in other currency to get premium ROI a lot of other economies will leak funds to the economy that gives premium returns and thus the currency of high ROI country appreciates against the other currencies.
In real life we see this happening: ECB is speaking about quantitative easining (and doing is also) vs. FED is expected to raise interests, this makes USD stronger against euro.

My lending portfolio represents only a small piece of coins I own. The portfolio is approximately the same size as I used to use for trading. Lending is less risky for me than trading and dumping (+ I do not get so much hatred in the forums when I am lending as opposed to dumping on the peaks and flipflopping).

Later I do not need to buy Moneros from the markets to support the exchange rate as the borrowers will buy those coins for me instead.