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Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis (Read 192935 times)

dooglus

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Merit: 1334

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 26, 2013, 06:59:23 PM

#1401

The script now automatically shows any bets which bet or win more than 99.5 BTC. It has been doing so for a few days now, but there haven't been any such bets. Today there are three:

Quote

Sat May 25 23:34:23 2013 <32768 237931 7cfe514dc833ea58:0 18rNw2noH4cJQy1CoxZWGm3pdmjxMAA389 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Sun May 26 00:06:05 2013 <32768 237933 46c05fa239fee1f2:0 1PH6caSTMY8FffbZnRNzBcpZo4As6KG9ZD BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Sun May 26 17:54:39 2013 <32768 238055 58b1fd5914c924c9:0 16B9Y5XihmAQVmj2ZpnCZEriYU3J1xJyxW BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000

Quote

Total of 69 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-26 11:55am (up to block 238057)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 24147 | 21807 (0.97855) | 478 | 1862 | 25632.04 | 25204.70 | 241.36 | 427.33 | 98.333
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 151503 | 137820 (0.91566) | 12694 | 989 | 80899.83 | 79686.61 | 2.50 | 1213.21 | 98.500
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 97884 | 83166 (0.85680) | 13900 | 818 | 86524.47 | 85709.50 | 401.42 | 814.97 | 99.058
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 103722 | 81760 (0.79389) | 21226 | 736 | 69761.74 | 68055.20 | 1188.28 | 1706.54 | 97.554
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 447123 | 327836 (0.73490) | 118261 | 1026 | 318973.16 | 311177.11 | 6173.45 | 7796.04 | 97.556
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 799890 | 398799 (0.49974) | 399217 | 1874 | 737267.83 | 717969.17 | 6524.14 | 19298.66 | 97.382
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1321430 | 643873 (0.48802) | 675483 | 2074 | 944570.20 | 924984.40 | 2926.66 | 19585.80 | 97.926
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 310885 | 113956 (0.36742) | 196199 | 730 | 600671.76 | 592056.37 | 1013.86 | 8615.38 | 98.566
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 322209 | 78474 (0.24416) | 242933 | 802 | 388411.75 | 373334.50 | 2323.41 | 15077.25 | 96.118
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 134600 | 24591 (0.18363) | 109323 | 686 | 184147.20 | 185220.37 | 3315.47 | -1073.17 | 100.583
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 237773 | 29124 (0.12283) | 207992 | 657 | 108757.00 | 108438.27 | 101.16 | 318.73 | 99.707
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 63167 | 5734 (0.09160) | 56867 | 566 | 17705.24 | 19433.01 | 7.71 | -1727.77 | 109.759
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 40654 | 2499 (0.06212) | 37730 | 425 | 8063.96 | 7986.28 | 31.48 | 77.68 | 99.037
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 33152 | 1513 (0.04636) | 31125 | 514 | 10227.39 | 11235.53 | 25.48 | -1008.14 | 109.857
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 105145 | 3187 (0.03045) | 101492 | 466 | 47888.23 | 44885.83 | 9.64 | 3002.40 | 93.730
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 28180 | 650 (0.02340) | 27127 | 403 | 8132.20 | 8724.84 | 15.24 | -592.64 | 107.288
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 163276 | 2511 (0.01544) | 160074 | 691 | 46105.85 | 42160.44 | 2.69 | 3945.41 | 91.443
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 41749 | 328 (0.00801) | 40622 | 799 | 8536.63 | 6978.58 | 10.37 | 1558.04 | 81.749
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 28000 | 117 (0.00424) | 27452 | 431 | 6126.21 | 8664.76 | 13.33 | -2538.54 | 141.437
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 23394 | 43 (0.00188) | 22818 | 533 | 2460.70 | 1598.30 | 48.59 | 862.39 | 64.953
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31660 | 35 (0.00113) | 31066 | 559 | 2214.66 | 1740.54 | 117.14 | 474.12 | 78.592
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 31165 | 13 (0.00042) | 30691 | 461 | 1685.36 | 1831.05 | 1.61 | -145.68 | 108.644
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 25143 | 5 (0.00020) | 24640 | 498 | 891.91 | 606.69 | 22.23 | 285.21 | 68.022
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25932 | 5 (0.00020) | 25370 | 557 | 620.90 | 433.95 | 14.67 | 186.94 | 69.891
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 15194 | 2 (0.00014) | 14642 | 550 | 219.08 | 320.42 | 18.54 | -101.34 | 146.255
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13446 | 0 (0.00000) | 12847 | 599 | 187.96 | 0.53 | 30.30 | 187.43 | 0.282
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 150141 | 3 (0.00002) | 147519 | 2619 | 1916.56 | 3844.09 | 179.40 | -1927.53 | 200.572
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4642704 | 1900589 | 2719484 | 22631 | 897593.75 | 881682.96 | 354.05 | 15910.78 | 98.227
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 127860 | 57262 | 70304 | 294 | 2811006.20 | 2750598.21 | 24406.21 | 60407.99 | 97.851
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4770564 | 1957851 | 2789788 | 22925 | 3708599.95 | 3632281.17 | 24760.26 | 76318.78 | 97.942
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 76318.78270105 BTC (2.058%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 4020.51877500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 72298.26392605 BTC (1.949%)
Pending Liabilities: -1.48954636 BTC
Final SD Profit: 72299.75347241 BTC (1.950%)
Profit This Month: 696.34512779 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15576954 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8765975 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6849.2 : SatoshiDice MB: 3615.4 (52.8%)

Just-Dice

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BITCOIN-PIZZA-DAY

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 27, 2013, 11:57:40 AM

#1402

It was me who donated and I donated again because I like your work

This morning someone really got lucky but then he got unlucky again, I'm looking forward to your post

Jonny Heggheim

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 27, 2013, 06:57:07 PM

#1403

Just sent you a small donation too, thanks for your updates!

dooglus

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Merit: 1334

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 27, 2013, 07:16:10 PM

#1404

Quote from: BITCOIN-PIZZA-DAY on May 27, 2013, 11:57:40 AM

It was me who donated and I donated again because I like your work

This morning someone really got lucky but then he got unlucky again, I'm looking forward to your post

I'd best get on it then hadn't I!

Quote from: Jonny Heggheim on May 27, 2013, 06:57:07 PM

Just sent you a small donation too, thanks for your updates!

Thanks, both of you.

The report is being generated now. It takes half an hour or so.

Just-Dice

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dooglus

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 27, 2013, 07:35:44 PM

#1405

It takes that long...

Quote

Mon May 27 02:36:16 2013 <32768 238115 9829c6e50a632fab:1 17LdMYJMkbuNzVhVqEahjEvGXsXyM9GBqu BET 100.13370000 WIN 95.82795090
Mon May 27 03:06:48 2013 <2000 238120 a4d638a9d271eed4:2 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 8.00000000 WIN 247.89254400
Mon May 27 04:56:57 2013 <32768 238135 1c5f1f416ac57438:0 18YdTxy3FTSREzaKnLYdHHXekH265rzZFV BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Mon May 27 05:20:41 2013 <56000 238140 00e9718c7b99a951:1 1DVzH2KkUuNtvZKmfFB92rdnNJGHvDoHK4 BET 100.00000000 WIN 14.71988571
Mon May 27 06:57:38 2013 <2000 238149 cc9f27baaffd280b:2 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 9.00000000 WIN 278.87911200
Mon May 27 07:38:27 2013 <2000 238155 e8a59dcdca0bceb2:2 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 13.00000000 WIN 402.82538400
Mon May 27 08:02:36 2013 <8000 238159 1c5680e3f60dfdba:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 24.00000000 WIN 168.00940800
Mon May 27 08:02:36 2013 <8000 238159 14deb3a6a220e4dc:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 24.00000000 WIN 168.00940800
Mon May 27 08:25:57 2013 <2000 238163 8721e3772256bbfd:2 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 13.00000000 WIN 402.82538400
Mon May 27 08:25:57 2013 <8000 238163 2c295c581abacafa:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 22.00000000 WIN 154.00862400
Mon May 27 08:42:21 2013 <8000 238165 3124b0f1cb23cdd8:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 22.00000000 WIN 154.00862400
Mon May 27 08:46:08 2013 <8000 238166 a430facf88903b5f:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 22.00000000 WIN 154.00862400
Mon May 27 08:58:44 2013 <1000 238169 0c870e9f1a38b521:3 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 9.00000000 WIN 566.71322400
Mon May 27 08:58:44 2013 <8000 238169 7e3278ed9f96a528:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 23.00000000 WIN 161.00901600
Mon May 27 09:19:02 2013 <2000 238172 cd0f43a92b716c5d:2 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 19.00000000 WIN 588.74479200
Mon May 27 10:13:54 2013 <8000 238178 43d3b7e8393d057f:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 22.00000000 WIN 154.00862400
Mon May 27 14:05:58 2013 <32768 238201 f8360f093ec473d8:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Mon May 27 14:32:39 2013 <32768 238206 dbd3f28472488528:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 WIN 95.70000000
Mon May 27 14:51:29 2013 <8000 238208 8a236b0cef682700:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 18.00000000 WIN 126.00705600
Mon May 27 14:51:29 2013 <8000 238208 7f4f1f4d2a58badd:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 18.00000000 WIN 126.00705600
Mon May 27 18:12:03 2013 <32768 238228 98ed963b53e722ca:0 18YdTxy3FTSREzaKnLYdHHXekH265rzZFV BET 104.00000000 WIN 99.52800000
Mon May 27 19:01:24 2013 <8000 238239 4a712da41c1d5d2b:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 19.00000000 WIN 133.00744800

Quote

Total of 39 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-27 12:34pm (up to block 238242)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 24167 | 21825 (0.97857) | 478 | 1864 | 25632.78 | 25205.45 | 241.36 | 427.33 | 98.333
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 152708 | 138913 (0.91561) | 12803 | 992 | 81020.19 | 79806.78 | 2.53 | 1213.41 | 98.502
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 98328 | 83544 (0.85678) | 13965 | 819 | 86724.04 | 85873.68 | 401.42 | 850.35 | 99.019
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 103916 | 81903 (0.79380) | 21275 | 738 | 69807.93 | 68103.64 | 1188.30 | 1704.29 | 97.559
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 448793 | 329065 (0.73491) | 118697 | 1031 | 319507.02 | 311751.63 | 6173.47 | 7755.39 | 97.573
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 803080 | 400410 (0.49976) | 400795 | 1875 | 739639.10 | 720214.84 | 6524.14 | 19424.25 | 97.374
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1324940 | 645612 (0.48804) | 677253 | 2075 | 945442.04 | 926054.88 | 2926.66 | 19387.16 | 97.949
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 311553 | 114197 (0.36740) | 196624 | 732 | 600834.90 | 592241.85 | 1013.86 | 8593.04 | 98.570
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 323539 | 78777 (0.24409) | 243959 | 803 | 390460.38 | 375345.77 | 2323.41 | 15114.60 | 96.129
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 134868 | 24639 (0.18362) | 109543 | 686 | 184177.35 | 185227.77 | 3315.47 | -1050.41 | 100.570
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 238629 | 29223 (0.12280) | 208749 | 657 | 110649.45 | 110451.09 | 101.16 | 198.36 | 99.821
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 63567 | 5780 (0.09174) | 57221 | 566 | 17729.04 | 19452.07 | 7.71 | -1723.03 | 109.719
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 40674 | 2500 (0.06211) | 37749 | 425 | 8064.28 | 7986.53 | 31.48 | 77.74 | 99.036
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 33179 | 1515 (0.04638) | 31150 | 514 | 10227.79 | 11236.06 | 25.48 | -1008.27 | 109.858
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 105656 | 3207 (0.03049) | 101982 | 467 | 49408.84 | 46888.67 | 9.65 | 2520.16 | 94.899
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 28198 | 650 (0.02339) | 27145 | 403 | 8132.39 | 8724.85 | 15.24 | -592.45 | 107.285
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 163916 | 2520 (0.01544) | 160702 | 694 | 46800.39 | 42758.45 | 2.70 | 4041.93 | 91.363
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 41791 | 328 (0.00800) | 40664 | 799 | 8537.17 | 6978.59 | 10.37 | 1558.58 | 81.744
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 28027 | 117 (0.00424) | 27478 | 432 | 6126.53 | 8664.76 | 13.33 | -2538.23 | 141.430
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 23415 | 43 (0.00188) | 22839 | 533 | 2461.32 | 1598.30 | 48.59 | 863.01 | 64.937
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31674 | 35 (0.00112) | 31080 | 559 | 2214.98 | 1740.54 | 117.14 | 474.44 | 78.580
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 31195 | 13 (0.00042) | 30721 | 461 | 1685.85 | 1831.05 | 1.61 | -145.19 | 108.612
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 25167 | 5 (0.00020) | 24661 | 501 | 892.15 | 606.69 | 22.23 | 285.45 | 68.004
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25952 | 5 (0.00020) | 25390 | 557 | 621.47 | 433.96 | 14.67 | 187.51 | 69.828
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 15203 | 2 (0.00014) | 14651 | 550 | 219.20 | 320.42 | 18.54 | -101.22 | 146.176
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13458 | 0 (0.00000) | 12858 | 600 | 188.17 | 0.53 | 30.30 | 187.64 | 0.282
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 150621 | 3 (0.00002) | 147996 | 2622 | 1924.97 | 3844.13 | 179.65 | -1919.16 | 199.699
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4657867 | 1907464 | 2727742 | 22661 | 899387.54 | 883417.93 | 354.39 | 15969.61 | 98.224
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 128347 | 57367 | 70686 | 294 | 2819742.31 | 2759925.17 | 24406.21 | 59817.13 | 97.879
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4786214 | 1964831 | 2798428 | 22955 | 3719129.85 | 3643343.10 | 24760.61 | 75786.74 | 97.962
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 75786.74831215 BTC (2.038%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 4037.00517500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71749.74313715 BTC (1.929%)
Pending Liabilities: -26.25315790 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71775.99629505 BTC (1.930%)
Profit This Month: 172.58795043 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15631401 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8795065 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6874.9 : SatoshiDice MB: 3627.5 (52.8%)

Just-Dice

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dooglus

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Merit: 1334

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 28, 2013, 11:47:39 PM

#1406

Lots of activity recently. I wonder whether this month will up in as a profit or a loss? It's close at the moment...

Quote

Mon May 27 19:52:49 2013 <8000 238244 bd99509ceea5e19c:1 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 19.00000000 WIN 133.00744800
Mon May 27 20:33:01 2013 <1000 238250 c29f06f904f07d7a:2 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 7.00000000 WIN 440.77695200
Mon May 27 21:28:24 2013 <2000 238255 9bcbe9ea99fa41b3:2 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 9.00000000 WIN 278.87911200
Mon May 27 23:23:04 2013 <8000 238268 825213ac4d23d29b:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 16.00000000 WIN 112.00627200
Mon May 27 23:23:04 2013 <1000 238268 825213ac4d23d29b:3 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 6.00000000 WIN 377.80881600
Mon May 27 23:26:24 2013 <2000 238269 e1736a2b9c5a3692:2 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 6.00000000 WIN 185.91940800
Tue May 28 00:28:30 2013 <8000 238274 5de175a19bad8a2a:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 28.00000000 WIN 196.01097600
Tue May 28 01:21:10 2013 <8000 238280 b0f7812e6b465c8a:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 15.00000000 WIN 105.00588000
Tue May 28 01:36:18 2013 <8000 238282 5fe7f1cb854c0636:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 15.00000000 WIN 105.00588000
Tue May 28 01:42:39 2013 <1000 238283 afda97092bb40b52:3 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 7.00000000 WIN 440.77695200
Tue May 28 02:54:55 2013 <8000 238291 207651e22e47d148:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 18.00000000 WIN 126.00705600
Tue May 28 03:10:13 2013 <2000 238295 53407221f5901430:2 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 14.80000000 WIN 458.60120640
Tue May 28 04:05:42 2013 <2000 238297 aa2bc1212afa4816:2 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 14.80000000 WIN 458.60120640
Tue May 28 05:15:58 2013 <2000 238302 0d07a2a0a65e72a4:2 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 19.00000000 WIN 588.74479200
Tue May 28 05:42:46 2013 <32768 238304 9b14f8251438c806:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 WIN 95.70000000
Tue May 28 07:16:34 2013 <1000 238311 48aa3953a4196623:3 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 8.00000000 WIN 503.74508800
Tue May 28 07:45:35 2013 <8000 238316 9806a65df7f0bcf3:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 22.00000000 WIN 154.00862400
Tue May 28 08:15:50 2013 <8000 238319 75946417cdb94d39:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 16.00000000 WIN 112.00627200
Tue May 28 11:16:43 2013 <32768 238334 55bc55d2847bbd03:0 18YdTxy3FTSREzaKnLYdHHXekH265rzZFV BET 130.00000000 LOSE -129.35000000
Tue May 28 11:16:43 2013 <16000 238334 8bb57067d8accd2f:0 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 36.00000000 WIN 108.09705600
Tue May 28 11:16:43 2013 <1000 238334 3933100254e9a320:3 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 8.00000000 WIN 503.74508800
Tue May 28 11:37:57 2013 <32768 238337 0f6ac595db63f6e5:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 300.00000000 WIN 287.10000000
Tue May 28 11:46:25 2013 <16000 238338 c57350bb17101771:0 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 35.00000000 WIN 105.09436000
Tue May 28 12:19:05 2013 <16000 238341 a8a06b1e5001fde3:0 1Hh4WS3CXmdBgdmEcmmCvLBQmn9jL5dqGe BET 35.00000000 WIN 105.09436000
Tue May 28 12:19:05 2013 <16000 238341 3a75a8e4c44a9ec9:0 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 35.00000000 WIN 105.09436000
Tue May 28 12:35:02 2013 <16000 238346 b36be20b2fd3b195:0 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 35.00000000 WIN 105.09436000
Tue May 28 12:42:12 2013 <8000 238348 8127c8516b2a97bf:1 17anRkp3P5nAiB2gQNU1gBf4jf57FwQmeU BET 24.00000000 WIN 168.00940800
Tue May 28 13:32:40 2013 <32768 238355 c69d9314e895990c:0 18YdTxy3FTSREzaKnLYdHHXekH265rzZFV BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Tue May 28 13:32:40 2013 <8000 238355 0f4bb0b680a80d99:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 28.00000000 WIN 196.01097600
Tue May 28 13:37:46 2013 <32768 238356 c152539b520f6e78:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 WIN 95.70000000
Tue May 28 13:37:46 2013 <32768 238356 cb852c592221b7d8:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 110.00000000 LOSE -109.45000000
Tue May 28 13:51:29 2013 <8000 238358 3710d4fb611c7e16:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 21.00000000 WIN 147.00823200
Tue May 28 13:59:47 2013 <2000 238360 da8300fe044b7427:2 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 15.00000000 WIN 464.79852000
Tue May 28 13:59:47 2013 <8000 238360 b7549c65da4e14e6:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 21.00000000 WIN 147.00823200
Tue May 28 14:34:03 2013 <1000 238363 dc989a9d0852fdba:3 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 7.00000000 WIN 440.77695200
Tue May 28 14:50:27 2013 <2000 238367 405973bda101b2a7:3 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 5.50000000 WIN 170.42612400
Tue May 28 15:17:07 2013 <8000 238369 c0b3498798294cdc:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 28.00000000 WIN 196.01097600
Tue May 28 15:17:07 2013 <2000 238369 fe017e7994fbec14:2 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 13.00000000 WIN 402.82538400
Tue May 28 15:52:09 2013 <8000 238373 dc473a0d9fead47a:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 28.00000000 WIN 196.01097600
Tue May 28 15:52:09 2013 <8000 238373 18583ede50401de0:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 28.00000000 WIN 196.01097600
Tue May 28 16:02:16 2013 <32768 238376 e487ab3128855f55:0 1E2GrxEEPnpAd4YsuEjr5GnMcnRoRN1V2o BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Tue May 28 16:02:16 2013 <1000 238376 4dfdda79004ee61f:2 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 3.00000000 WIN 188.90440800
Tue May 28 16:02:16 2013 <2000 238376 4dfdda79004ee61f:1 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 6.00000000 WIN 185.91940800
Tue May 28 16:02:16 2013 <8000 238376 fa825bc82c55859d:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 29.00000000 WIN 203.01136800
Tue May 28 16:14:52 2013 <32768 238377 bb8640513f349c54:0 18YdTxy3FTSREzaKnLYdHHXekH265rzZFV BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Tue May 28 16:20:54 2013 <32768 238379 120e4abeb7fa579e:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Tue May 28 16:28:35 2013 <32768 238380 d60f7a0fc5b01895:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Tue May 28 16:41:00 2013 <32768 238382 2d74aa02f279014e:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 150.00000000 LOSE -149.25000000
Tue May 28 17:00:43 2013 <32768 238383 4ab45b11fc3bd923:0 18YdTxy3FTSREzaKnLYdHHXekH265rzZFV BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Tue May 28 17:54:48 2013 <2000 238386 a0a83478ff5f953e:2 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 12.00000000 WIN 371.83881600
Tue May 28 18:07:45 2013 <32768 238389 f6f9a7acab8a13a4:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 180.00000000 LOSE -179.10000000
Tue May 28 18:07:45 2013 <32768 238389 17cb523d1bbd3872:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 200.00000000 WIN 191.40000000
Tue May 28 18:40:28 2013 <32768 238393 2fbe9e12063a971e:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 200.00000000 LOSE -199.00000000
Tue May 28 18:47:56 2013 <32768 238394 a96d28f711a9e199:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 200.00000000 WIN 191.40000000
Tue May 28 19:54:30 2013 <8000 238399 c621eb0ad567415e:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 21.00000000 WIN 147.00823200
Tue May 28 20:07:04 2013 <32768 238400 a20303de9a0fadd0:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 200.00000000 WIN 191.40000000
Tue May 28 20:30:14 2013 <32768 238402 225df6407d5e7bfb:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 WIN 95.70000000
Tue May 28 20:30:14 2013 <8000 238402 310fb21d0965cb77:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 28.00000000 WIN 196.01097600
Tue May 28 20:38:39 2013 <32768 238404 0ce3abcd22f53ac4:0 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 150.00000000 WIN 143.55000000
Tue May 28 20:46:29 2013 <32768 238405 aa9c50cbfa18e993:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 150.00000000 WIN 143.55000000
Tue May 28 21:02:59 2013 <32768 238408 dbd17627726b25f3:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 150.00000000 WIN 143.55000000

Quote

Total of 43 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-28 04:34pm (up to block 238426)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 24240 | 21898 (0.97864) | 478 | 1864 | 25665.17 | 25237.97 | 241.36 | 427.19 | 98.336
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 154315 | 140376 (0.91557) | 12945 | 994 | 81208.47 | 79982.32 | 2.55 | 1226.14 | 98.490
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 99309 | 84383 (0.85678) | 14106 | 820 | 86939.89 | 86078.10 | 401.42 | 861.78 | 99.009
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 104278 | 82190 (0.79385) | 21344 | 744 | 70063.86 | 68301.74 | 1188.32 | 1762.12 | 97.485
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 451636 | 331159 (0.73492) | 119444 | 1033 | 320401.41 | 312683.22 | 6173.49 | 7718.18 | 97.591
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 806714 | 402207 (0.49974) | 402631 | 1876 | 744712.76 | 725376.32 | 6524.15 | 19336.43 | 97.404
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1328038 | 647117 (0.48804) | 678840 | 2081 | 946271.34 | 926960.64 | 2926.68 | 19310.70 | 97.959
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 312283 | 114449 (0.36735) | 197101 | 733 | 601049.29 | 592381.23 | 1013.87 | 8668.06 | 98.558
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 324680 | 79051 (0.24408) | 244825 | 804 | 394566.84 | 379357.42 | 2323.42 | 15209.41 | 96.145
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 135172 | 24688 (0.18357) | 109798 | 686 | 184242.78 | 185303.14 | 3315.47 | -1060.36 | 100.576
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 239564 | 29327 (0.12276) | 209579 | 658 | 115289.64 | 114409.49 | 101.17 | 880.14 | 99.237
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 64413 | 5857 (0.09173) | 57990 | 566 | 17765.26 | 19473.29 | 7.71 | -1708.03 | 109.614
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 40730 | 2504 (0.06213) | 37801 | 425 | 8068.59 | 7990.25 | 31.48 | 78.33 | 99.029
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 33219 | 1516 (0.04635) | 31189 | 514 | 10228.69 | 11236.28 | 25.48 | -1007.58 | 109.851
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 106291 | 3221 (0.03044) | 102601 | 469 | 53463.49 | 50605.69 | 9.65 | 2857.80 | 94.655
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 28221 | 650 (0.02337) | 27168 | 403 | 8133.03 | 8724.85 | 15.24 | -591.82 | 107.277
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 164550 | 2532 (0.01545) | 161319 | 699 | 48542.91 | 45727.41 | 2.73 | 2815.50 | 94.200
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 41831 | 329 (0.00802) | 40702 | 800 | 8538.55 | 6979.84 | 10.37 | 1558.70 | 81.745
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 28065 | 117 (0.00423) | 27516 | 432 | 6129.15 | 8664.78 | 13.33 | -2535.62 | 141.370
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 23438 | 43 (0.00188) | 22862 | 533 | 2461.68 | 1598.30 | 48.59 | 863.38 | 64.927
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31693 | 35 (0.00112) | 31098 | 560 | 2215.18 | 1740.54 | 117.14 | 474.64 | 78.573
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 31232 | 13 (0.00042) | 30758 | 461 | 1686.94 | 1831.05 | 1.61 | -144.10 | 108.543
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 25221 | 5 (0.00020) | 24715 | 501 | 893.01 | 606.70 | 22.23 | 286.31 | 67.938
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25983 | 5 (0.00020) | 25421 | 557 | 621.95 | 433.96 | 14.67 | 187.98 | 69.774
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 15216 | 2 (0.00014) | 14664 | 550 | 219.33 | 320.43 | 18.54 | -101.09 | 146.089
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13475 | 0 (0.00000) | 12875 | 600 | 188.43 | 0.53 | 30.30 | 187.90 | 0.283
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 151291 | 3 (0.00002) | 148657 | 2631 | 1934.78 | 3844.19 | 180.98 | -1909.40 | 198.688
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4675595 | 1916124 | 2736771 | 22700 | 902203.23 | 886331.56 | 355.88 | 15871.67 | 98.241
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 129503 | 57553 | 71656 | 294 | 2839299.30 | 2779518.25 | 24406.21 | 59781.05 | 97.895
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4805098 | 1973677 | 2808427 | 22994 | 3741502.53 | 3665849.81 | 24762.09 | 75652.72 | 97.978
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 75652.72581366 BTC (2.022%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 4056.92157500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71595.80423866 BTC (1.914%)
Pending Liabilities: -39.03151931 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71634.83575797 BTC (1.915%)
Profit This Month: 31.42741335 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15697597 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8830470 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6904.6 : SatoshiDice MB: 3642.1 (52.7%)

Just-Dice

Play or Invest

1% House Edge

dooglus

Legendary

Offline

Activity: 2940
Merit: 1334

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 29, 2013, 10:12:31 PM

#1407

Quote

Wed May 29 01:01:17 2013 <1000 238431 b34e88c6723d7b39:2 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 4.00000000 WIN 251.87254400
Wed May 29 02:01:33 2013 <2000 238437 bd64b8fda1d589d9:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 6.00000000 WIN 185.91940800
Wed May 29 02:36:39 2013 <2000 238439 0269e8cc75fe218a:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 8.00000000 WIN 247.89254400
Wed May 29 04:41:53 2013 <6000 238452 f0f09a4d2d88c11e:0 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 13.00000000 WIN 125.65179466
Wed May 29 06:26:13 2013 <2000 238470 2f65fcdc0ad22c8a:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 10.00000000 WIN 309.86568000
Wed May 29 08:50:50 2013 <32768 238486 4f987bf66f23400c:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 200.00000000 WIN 191.40000000
Wed May 29 08:51:43 2013 <2000 238487 55dc9a1644137ad8:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 12.00000000 WIN 371.83881600
Wed May 29 08:51:43 2013 <1000 238487 55dc9a1644137ad8:2 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 6.00000000 WIN 377.80881600
Wed May 29 10:06:35 2013 <32768 238501 14e267fdd8ffafd1:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Wed May 29 13:17:51 2013 <8000 238523 e69985b03a4b44af:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 16.00000000 WIN 112.00627200
Wed May 29 18:43:55 2013 <8000 238560 61bbeca265fa3e2b:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 16.00000000 WIN 112.00627200

Quote

Total of 24 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-29 03:11pm (up to block 238586)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 24286 | 21942 (0.97864) | 479 | 1865 | 25700.01 | 25264.98 | 241.37 | 435.03 | 98.307
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 155132 | 141127 (0.91561) | 13008 | 997 | 81462.30 | 80247.94 | 2.57 | 1214.35 | 98.509
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 99565 | 84605 (0.85681) | 14139 | 821 | 87003.35 | 86143.43 | 401.42 | 859.92 | 99.012
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 104815 | 82616 (0.79385) | 21454 | 745 | 70360.81 | 68527.77 | 1188.32 | 1833.03 | 97.395
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 453359 | 332428 (0.73493) | 119896 | 1035 | 320867.24 | 313112.89 | 6173.50 | 7754.34 | 97.583
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 810018 | 403825 (0.49970) | 404313 | 1880 | 747907.34 | 728943.31 | 6524.17 | 18964.03 | 97.464
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1329615 | 647882 (0.48804) | 679647 | 2086 | 946759.35 | 927415.83 | 2926.70 | 19343.52 | 97.957
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 312823 | 114628 (0.36729) | 197462 | 733 | 601124.83 | 592453.79 | 1013.87 | 8671.04 | 98.558
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 325458 | 79254 (0.24412) | 245399 | 805 | 394952.12 | 379845.13 | 2323.43 | 15106.99 | 96.175
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 135452 | 24739 (0.18357) | 110026 | 687 | 184286.58 | 185335.56 | 3315.48 | -1048.97 | 100.569
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 240129 | 29405 (0.12279) | 210066 | 658 | 116376.71 | 115602.28 | 101.17 | 774.43 | 99.335
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 64917 | 5892 (0.09156) | 58459 | 566 | 18003.89 | 19626.76 | 7.71 | -1622.86 | 109.014
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 40783 | 2505 (0.06207) | 37853 | 425 | 8072.42 | 7991.33 | 31.48 | 81.09 | 98.995
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 33242 | 1519 (0.04641) | 31209 | 514 | 10229.00 | 11237.03 | 25.48 | -1008.02 | 109.855
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 106852 | 3241 (0.03047) | 103138 | 473 | 54770.91 | 51801.98 | 9.67 | 2968.93 | 94.579
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 28242 | 650 (0.02335) | 27188 | 404 | 8133.26 | 8724.85 | 15.24 | -591.58 | 107.274
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 165318 | 2559 (0.01555) | 162059 | 700 | 49342.85 | 46521.41 | 2.73 | 2821.44 | 94.282
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 41860 | 330 (0.00804) | 40730 | 800 | 8538.85 | 6981.09 | 10.37 | 1557.75 | 81.757
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 28078 | 117 (0.00423) | 27529 | 432 | 6129.46 | 8664.78 | 13.33 | -2535.31 | 141.363
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 23455 | 43 (0.00188) | 22878 | 534 | 2461.88 | 1598.30 | 48.59 | 863.58 | 64.922
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31718 | 35 (0.00112) | 31123 | 560 | 2215.44 | 1740.54 | 117.14 | 474.89 | 78.564
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 31301 | 13 (0.00042) | 30825 | 463 | 1687.70 | 1831.06 | 1.62 | -143.36 | 108.494
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 25234 | 5 (0.00020) | 24728 | 501 | 893.15 | 606.70 | 22.23 | 286.45 | 67.928
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25999 | 5 (0.00020) | 25437 | 557 | 622.14 | 433.96 | 14.67 | 188.18 | 69.753
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 15224 | 2 (0.00014) | 14672 | 550 | 219.42 | 320.43 | 18.54 | -101.00 | 146.034
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13494 | 0 (0.00000) | 12894 | 600 | 188.65 | 0.53 | 30.30 | 188.12 | 0.283
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 152113 | 3 (0.00002) | 149468 | 2642 | 1945.67 | 3844.24 | 181.34 | -1898.57 | 197.579
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4688463 | 1921714 | 2744010 | 22739 | 904381.61 | 888593.98 | 356.35 | 15787.62 | 98.254
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 130019 | 57656 | 72069 | 294 | 2845873.86 | 2786224.02 | 24406.21 | 59649.84 | 97.904
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4818482 | 1979370 | 2816079 | 23033 | 3750255.48 | 3674818.01 | 24762.57 | 75437.47 | 97.988
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 75437.47230993 BTC (2.012%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 4070.98697500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71366.48533493 BTC (1.903%)
Pending Liabilities: -106.77183574 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71473.25717067 BTC (1.906%)
Profit This Month: -130.15117395 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15748678 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8854943 (56.2%)
Blockchain MB: 6928.2 : SatoshiDice MB: 3652.1 (52.7%)

Just-Dice

Play or Invest

1% House Edge

dooglus

Legendary

Offline

Activity: 2940
Merit: 1334

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 03:44:20 AM

#1408

It's crazy how we can still be so close to 0 profit this month.

Quote

Wed May 29 22:10:15 2013 <32768 238587 d6df513af8f025ef:1 1BioYESCrWFZ4g2c2bdfjkVn7BNhDNnPmD BET 110.00000000 LOSE -109.45000000
Thu May 30 06:04:20 2013 <32768 238634 aead6f0a515a0fb4:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 100.00000000 WIN 95.70000000
Thu May 30 07:03:54 2013 <32768 238643 11ea8bd414be2129:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 150.00000000 WIN 143.55000000
Thu May 30 07:32:26 2013 <32768 238646 b934aad2b1c79e85:1 1BUFcWtTyVBRPUXk7szbCZRgfowADZCFAm BET 105.55000000 LOSE -105.02225000
Thu May 30 07:37:21 2013 <32768 238648 47903da5289dc218:0 178HsAcb1kqQtnadT1sFmf9eL1yXsg6858 BET 180.80000000 WIN 173.02560000
Thu May 30 07:37:21 2013 <1000 238648 1b18c312812186d5:2 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 4.00000000 WIN 251.87254400
Thu May 30 08:23:55 2013 <32768 238652 5724c3fe35dc40eb:0 178HsAcb1kqQtnadT1sFmf9eL1yXsg6858 BET 100.10000000 WIN 95.79570000
Thu May 30 08:32:06 2013 <2000 238653 12f02d8b5ab22017:1 17XF9GMB7uM94JSety54a4eM1PjHC1QAMX BET 6.00000000 WIN 185.91940800
Thu May 30 13:38:06 2013 <32768 238695 79f19a8f120fba87:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Thu May 30 13:53:55 2013 <32768 238697 2262a92f356d60db:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Thu May 30 13:59:59 2013 <32768 238698 c1ab15620e2669bf:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 150.00000000 LOSE -149.25000000
Thu May 30 14:02:39 2013 <32768 238699 affe8dd88b59aad2:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Thu May 30 14:14:47 2013 <32768 238702 2eecab1582ea85f4:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 200.00000000 WIN 191.40000000
Thu May 30 14:19:25 2013 <32768 238704 3c4ce9df3284b28d:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 130.00000000 LOSE -129.35000000
Thu May 30 15:22:06 2013 <32768 238707 7d191b8afcd714a1:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 200.00000000 WIN 191.40000000
Thu May 30 17:19:50 2013 <32768 238720 f8110bef5cddb141:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 WIN 95.70000000
Thu May 30 17:42:53 2013 <32768 238723 cc81f92a5b125014:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 139.00000000 WIN 133.02300000
Thu May 30 18:06:46 2013 <32768 238727 6374e448acbcd972:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000
Thu May 30 19:05:55 2013 <32768 238733 ad4a3316ffe2984e:2 14j73fVVomPRpfzxb9DmYQQy7sFZj626a8 BET 100.00000000 LOSE -99.50000000

Quote

Total of 18 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-30 07:24pm (up to block 238794)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 24319 | 21971 (0.97862) | 480 | 1868 | 25708.38 | 25267.24 | 241.37 | 441.13 | 98.284
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 157244 | 143057 (0.91561) | 13186 | 1001 | 81727.66 | 80508.91 | 2.59 | 1218.75 | 98.509
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 100358 | 85280 (0.85677) | 14257 | 821 | 87343.60 | 86494.37 | 401.42 | 849.23 | 99.028
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 105328 | 83022 (0.79386) | 21558 | 748 | 70539.36 | 68706.61 | 1188.33 | 1832.75 | 97.402
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 456921 | 335030 (0.73490) | 120854 | 1037 | 322064.03 | 314325.33 | 6173.51 | 7738.69 | 97.597
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 812808 | 405207 (0.49969) | 405714 | 1887 | 752540.85 | 733366.83 | 6524.20 | 19174.01 | 97.452
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1332064 | 649062 (0.48803) | 680909 | 2093 | 947447.37 | 928155.65 | 2926.74 | 19291.72 | 97.964
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 313487 | 114860 (0.36725) | 197893 | 734 | 601269.18 | 592571.55 | 1013.87 | 8697.62 | 98.553
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 327222 | 79674 (0.24409) | 246738 | 810 | 395431.24 | 380120.24 | 2323.45 | 15310.99 | 96.128
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 136063 | 24853 (0.18358) | 110523 | 687 | 184348.15 | 185406.21 | 3315.48 | -1058.05 | 100.574
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 241023 | 29508 (0.12276) | 210856 | 659 | 116557.32 | 115741.09 | 101.17 | 816.23 | 99.300
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 65249 | 5925 (0.09160) | 58757 | 567 | 18016.36 | 19641.84 | 7.72 | -1625.47 | 109.022
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 40851 | 2508 (0.06204) | 37918 | 425 | 8076.14 | 7992.81 | 31.48 | 83.33 | 98.968
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 33331 | 1523 (0.04641) | 31294 | 514 | 10231.35 | 11239.17 | 25.48 | -1007.82 | 109.850
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 107607 | 3268 (0.03050) | 103865 | 474 | 54939.69 | 52042.36 | 9.68 | 2897.32 | 94.726
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 28309 | 653 (0.02340) | 27252 | 404 | 8139.38 | 8727.35 | 15.24 | -587.97 | 107.224
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 166132 | 2573 (0.01555) | 162858 | 701 | 49550.38 | 46794.90 | 2.74 | 2755.48 | 94.439
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 41917 | 330 (0.00803) | 40786 | 801 | 8539.84 | 6981.10 | 10.38 | 1558.73 | 81.747
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 28181 | 118 (0.00425) | 27629 | 434 | 6131.61 | 8667.29 | 13.33 | -2535.67 | 141.354
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 23473 | 43 (0.00187) | 22896 | 534 | 2462.24 | 1598.30 | 48.59 | 863.94 | 64.913
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31738 | 35 (0.00112) | 31143 | 560 | 2216.26 | 1740.54 | 117.14 | 475.71 | 78.535
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 31360 | 14 (0.00045) | 30883 | 463 | 1689.11 | 1851.05 | 1.62 | -161.94 | 109.588
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 25415 | 5 (0.00020) | 24909 | 501 | 894.96 | 606.71 | 22.23 | 288.25 | 67.791
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 26036 | 5 (0.00020) | 25474 | 557 | 622.58 | 433.96 | 14.67 | 188.61 | 69.704
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 15233 | 2 (0.00014) | 14681 | 550 | 219.54 | 320.43 | 18.54 | -100.88 | 145.955
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13568 | 0 (0.00000) | 12967 | 601 | 189.78 | 0.53 | 30.50 | 189.24 | 0.285
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 152741 | 3 (0.00002) | 150085 | 2653 | 1958.00 | 3844.31 | 181.75 | -1886.30 | 196.338
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4707747 | 1930791 | 2754166 | 22790 | 907807.87 | 891934.08 | 357.11 | 15873.79 | 98.251
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 130231 | 57738 | 72199 | 294 | 2851046.60 | 2791212.73 | 24406.21 | 59833.86 | 97.901
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4837978 | 1988529 | 2826365 | 23084 | 3758854.48 | 3683146.82 | 24763.32 | 75707.65 | 97.986
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 75707.65882337 BTC (2.014%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 4091.33657500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71616.32224837 BTC (1.905%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.01628256 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71616.30596581 BTC (1.905%)
Profit This Month: 12.89762119 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15816734 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8890406 (56.2%)
Blockchain MB: 6960.0 : SatoshiDice MB: 3667.0 (52.7%)

Just-Dice

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dance4x

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

#1409

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

dooglus

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 03:59:30 AM

#1410

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

Look at the slope of the red line. When it's steep, lots is being bet. When it's flat, nothing is being bet.

Just-Dice

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organofcorti

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Poor impulse control.

Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 04:05:01 AM

#1411

Quote from: dooglus on May 31, 2013, 03:59:30 AM

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

Look at the slope of the red line. When it's steep, lots is being bet. When it's flat, nothing is being bet.

I wouldn't believe dooglus. That's clearly a sock puppet account Grin

(you've just been waiting for that, huh?)

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dance4x

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 04:12:31 AM

#1412

Quote from: dooglus on May 31, 2013, 03:59:30 AM

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

Look at the slope of the red line. When it's steep, lots is being bet. When it's flat, nothing is being bet.

looks like i needed to be on my laptop instead of my phone to see that. i'm guess that number is just the expected 1.9% edge on the bets placed each day?

dooglus

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 04:29:39 AM

#1413

Quote from: organofcorti on May 31, 2013, 04:05:01 AM

I wouldn't believe dooglus. That's clearly a sock puppet account Grin

(you've just been waiting for that, huh?)

Heh. I found them here: https://bt.irlbtc.com/view/218231.msg2324967#msg2324967

Also, I just remembered and used something you taught me about a year ago: https://bt.irlbtc.com/view/191176.msg2325281#msg2325281

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organofcorti

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 05:09:33 AM

#1414

Quote from: dooglus on May 31, 2013, 04:29:39 AM

Quote from: organofcorti on May 31, 2013, 04:05:01 AM

I wouldn't believe dooglus. That's clearly a sock puppet account Grin

(you've just been waiting for that, huh?)

Those were the days! I think it was more of a collaborative effort than anything else, though Wink

Now If I could just find the post where I derived the expected number of losses in a row as -log(bets*p + 1)/log(q). Where the hell did I leave that thing? Or maybe you derived it?

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vongesell

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 01:33:02 PM

#1415

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

if desired here are the graphs of change of bets, change of TX and MB % on the blockchain in full or 2013 only. they probably have errors and they are based on dooglus' data from this thread (many thanks).

Bugpowder

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 02:54:37 PM

#1416

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

The betting volume has increased since closing to US bettors.

infested999

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 03:27:56 PM

#1417

Quote from: Bugpowder on May 31, 2013, 02:54:37 PM

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

The betting volume has increased since closing to US bettors.

He is using gorilla marketing tactics. Free media attention by blocking his site in the US.

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RationalSpeculator

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 03:28:25 PM

#1418

Quote from: vongesell on May 31, 2013, 01:33:02 PM

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

Thank you so much for sharing your work

It's very interesting to see your graph about avg bets per day since inception.

It looks like we hit a double bottom now, and if the past repeats it can go up from here a lot.

RationalSpeculator

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 03:31:18 PM

#1419

Quote from: infested999 on May 31, 2013, 03:27:56 PM

Quote from: Bugpowder on May 31, 2013, 02:54:37 PM

Quote from: dance4x on May 31, 2013, 03:48:45 AM

are you able to tell if the amount being bet on satoshidice has declined since they closed their operations to americans?

The betting volume has increased since closing to US bettors.

He is using gorilla marketing tactics. Free media attention by blocking his site in the US.

I'm not sure. Swiss banks have also started refusing US citizens and I don't think this is guerrilla marketing nor does it add to the bottom line. They lose business but also take less legal risk. I think the same applies here.

Though I agree some US citizens will be motivated to gamble more with SatoshiDice now that it's forbidden, many more I think will go for the easy solution and just switch gambling website.

Ie: I think if US citizens were not refused, the growth would have been stronger.

ThickAsThieves

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Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

May 31, 2013, 03:37:26 PM

#1420

Quote from: infested999 on May 31, 2013, 03:27:56 PM

He is using gorilla marketing tactics. Free media attention by blocking his site in the US.

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