one graph is a free market, another-first, a scare, then artificial money printing pump.
which one is which?s
Continuation?
1 sigma?
Dependent on so many factors that there is nothing but noise...but...cascading knockon effects have already been observed. The longer there are no signs of de-escalation the more intense the reaction will be imho. I think Ukraine will fall..unless something drastically changes...then its going to be another Afghanistan or Syria for Russia. It will be a meat grinder with a insurgent population fully entrenched to defend their country. Not really good for anyone.
There is a need to realise how the Russian military is contructed, up to 70% of some regiments are made up of conscripts. People who are literally grabbed up off the streets and forced to serve for up to two years of service. The rest of units made of what are called 'contract soldiers'. Your basic run of the mill grunt. Even then..the average enlisted receives marginal training compared to other modern militarys. There are however plenty of well trained officers and dozens of crack combat units..especially in the tank divisions. Their special forces and strategic rocket forces are exceptional and their airforce has state of the art aircraft. Their naval force have few modern ships or subs really and again..good officer corps but average enlisted.
There is just one one problem..they face a constant shortage of key technology and raw materials..enough so that most of the systems they brag about are in such short quantity that while not insignificant should be tempered. About the only thing they are not lacking in are WMD's unfortunately.
The biggest problem by far is that Russia actually thinks a nuclear war is winnable. They practice wargames just like we do but they do it with the general population. They have actual civic bunkers built and suppplied and think that it is somehow possible to survive such a holocaust.
They are wrong. Its not possible to have a limited nuclear war. You lose all that you tried to gain..and where would you go? There is nothing left..no one to trade with..cant go to the places you bombed...cant live in the places you are because of retaliatory strikes.
Somehow somebody thought it was a good idea to build some 15,000 of these things. smh
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the evening wall report
just a small band of resistance above and then it would seem mid to upper 40's 50 will be contested if we get there as people trim profits...just have to see
dyor
4h

D

stronghands