watching for withdrawals isn't enough. they are withdrawing bitcoin from that address regularly. that is what an exchange cold storage is for! to store funds and then withdraw them when needed.
for example in the past 5 months they have withdrawn 62k bitcoin or ~$300 million
that is the same amount of bitcoin withdrawn in October 2018 alone (ie in one month)!

don't forget that we are half on the rise and half in accumulation phase where whales have been constantly buying bitcoin and cashing out to their cold storages.

So many people here are sorry about this because I dint think we even have people that bought during that time on this forum again, it is this sorry state that makes so many people wish for bitcoin price to drop below a thousand dollars and would crest all manner of terrible news to make this happen.

I guess they have finally come to reality that bitcoin price has come to stay above $5000 and will never in its history ever look back to that price again as I can see that FUD news about Bitcoin has really reduced. So the sorry state is over, now is our own cent, because if BTC turns to 1 million dollars now, the price we buy now will be like a cent then.

I understand what you are saying vividly, sometimes, it gets very difficult to really determine if one has actually bought at dip, for me, I just allow my intuition play a little here,though many people will advise you never let your emotion get you in your trade, but in this scenario, I think it can play out a little, since I am not doing the proper trade, and no matter the mistake I make now, it will still not be a costly one since we are still very far from the main ATH.

After BTC crossed the barrier of $6000, I sold little of my coin,believing that we will still have a retest that will enable me buy at dip again, otherwise, one might just have to buy once and keep holding till the bull run starts.

Indeed, dip is over, we are in the bull run now and what we will be seeing for the rest of the year is just good pump after good pump.
My target for this year is high, higher than the current price, so I advise to buy at the current price though it's not the dip anymore.

There will be after FOMO, and it's now going FOMO. I will give it 3 days more of green, long, parabolic candles before another dip.

Get ready.

a "dip" does not mean falling 80% so that you can buy!

a "dip" is an opportunity that exists at all times at all prices. it is a situation when price falls to a level that is considered lowest of that particular time. for example right now that price is rising and has reached $7300+ the "dip" is defined as the lower price that was reached AFTER that high price at $6800. so for example if you missed out on buying, you should have bought at that drop @$6800

Buying cheap for now is a very correct strategy, although of course there are many exceptions to the rules when this rule does not work the way we want. In this case, the rule implies that you do not need to buy everything, you need to be very selective and carefully plan your investments. In order not to buy some kind of garbage that no one needs.

I guess this is normal and that is the sentiment we always see whenever there's a huge surge of price in bitcoin. I'm always expecting that people would get angry at themselves when there is a bullrun. But buying the dip is kind of hard though. I have been wrong 3x thinking btc has reach the final bottom in 2018 but it still plunges to $3k instead.

I am always surprised by the fact that people know very well what it is needed to be done to be profitable in this market and yet they do not do it, the price of bitcoin was very low for months and anyone that took the opportunity to buy it has doubled his money in just a few weeks, and what it is even better is that the movement is not over so some people could even triple their money and yet despite all the evidence in front of them many refuse to perform the necessary actions to make money in this market.

Buy into the rise is more sensible, everyone is guessing when they try to describe the price.   Not that I discourage various charting and methods of prediction and they can add accuracy but nobody actually knows.   The safest thing Ive been told of is to buy into a series of regular rises, on this little time frame that works and on the larger time frame I think more work is needed still but Im a pessimist in general

That'd be awful scenario.   Without a mix of buyers and sellers we get unstable price distribution, the only real safe way for price to build higher like skyscraper is gradually with foundations and much revision at each price.    So we have to go back at least some to check price on the way up