200 weeks is a hell of a long time my dude   You aint wrong and explains at least part of the forum old guard and their stance to hold BTC regardless of fluctuation, I tried to give this advice in March but when everything is blinking red on the screen the words run shallow.   I got some merit for my advice but that person also sold near to the bottom pricing sadly.
   But within a shorter time frame then nearly 4 years!  we can go down, I think we'll loop a few times more this year for sure.   We'll have more loops in the price then a plate of spaghetti hoops soup in the end, not yet full bullish imo.   Spotting the dips is also good, the counter to that is also be taking profits on your peaks.

These are the hardest things to guess for a speculator as you should be precise with the charts and your analysis should also be to the point and in-depth. Also market doesn't always go the way you want it to be, it is insidious just like everyone thought back in 2017 that if the price would reach $20k then it will explode and we could easily see $50k but actually the reverse happened and the end result was a low of $3k from all time high of $20k in the process.

As far as i know there are only few on them made this stupid decision mate selling at $3k when they really know that volatility is always lurking around market and they may even wait for at least month or so before realizing that market already in recovery stage.

I never though of doing so though i have bought at $16k level and realized that i need to keep waiting if i want to get my funds back or even earn more.

I thought of selling last year when 14k$ value reached but denied myself and continue holding

Very few people bought in at 20k, 10k sure and prices around there but it fell pretty fast from that ATH and I think the pricing we at now and last summer are probably more significant to conquering the top in that way.
  9200 is a possible buy at present or tracking 50 day average which forms the lows, just above is the 2 day average and I wouldnt be too positive until it breaks that quite short term measure; which should be easy to do. 

Before another surge, I want to share that, in only 10 years Bitcoin has risen to $9,000 from a mere $0.01, while our savings in fiat money continue to devalue every year because of inflation.

Buy the dip, and HODL.

To be fair, I doubt that it is representative to measure bitcoin from it's earliest adoption phases, in which it had almost no value, even though the point of sound money still holds true for bitcoin... and of course, in bitcoin we are still likely in the earliest of stages of an exponential s-curve adoption phase, yet the more mature bitcoin becomes, the more likely we will be able to compare it to other more mature assets, and sure many of us have seemingly sound conjectures that bitcoin is going to continue to serve as a gravitational magnate for value.. absent some kind of major downfall in the technology or the exploitation of an attack vector that is NOT adequately appreciated or understood at this time.

In other words, still seems that bitcoin continues to serve a great asymmetric bet that continues to provide a lot of upside potential and maybe even no need to really gamble or leverage in order to personally profit stupendously from bitcoin merely by either starting to accumulate or just continuing to accumulate BTC to an extent that is personally reasonable and feasible and maybe NOT investing so much or too much that you may have to sell BTC that is not at a time of your own choosing.

In other words, even though bitcoin seems to continue as a very great asymmetric bet to the upside, there could be periods in which bitcoin prices are manipulated down and continue to stay down for unreasonable periods of time in order to attempt to shake as many HODLers out of their bitcoin as is possible, and in those circumstances, each of us has to be careful that we are not shaken out of some or all of our bitcoin at a time that is NOT of our own choosing.

Yes it is true that we always experience inflation and that is why it is better if we will put our money in some investments like golds and real estate if we want to increase its value.

 Buying the dips for me is not for everyone, all of us have different perspective on trading and holding. There are some people who want to hold their bitcoins for a long time but there are some who want to day trade it. Buying at dips is not working all the times and there is criteria for it.

Buying the dip depends largely on individual, if you have knowledge of the market and how it operates then buying every dip would be very satisfying, but from the point of a newbie who had already bought from the top and has less or limited knowledge of the market won't even consider it, their eagerness would be to sell and leave,
I would rather buy in every major dip than in every dip, although the former comes rarely.

You seem to be projecting too much on the financial, budgeting and investing situation that others might find themselves in.

If you understand the concept of buying on the dip, it should be used to attempt to supplement a kind of dollar cost averaging approach to buying BTC rather than attempting to time BTC price dips, because it is nearly impossible to figure out with any kind of precision when dips are going to happen or how much dip is going to happen.


So, in this kind of a system, you might establish a buying budget for yourself that covers a period of time.  So for example if you have a $6k budget for the next 6 months, so if you divide such budget into weekly allotments, then you would have $250 per week for your budget.

Therefore, you might used some of that allotment to buy BTC every week, maybe $125, and then the other half $125 might be used to buy on dips, and of course, you can establish how much of a dip that you need before buying and you can choose to carry over the allocated amount to subsequent weeks... there are a lot of ways that you could allocate any budget, once you have established such budget in terms of both amount and time frame.. and you can even tweak a bit here or there in your carrying out of the plan based on changes in your ideas including how you might approach buying on dip practices.