It’s still very disappointing to see Monero’s price very cheap (due to loss of profit) but at the same time it could be good news as this makes an advantage to invest early on XMR for the next increase in price. I have the sense that next year will be a very good year for Monero. Just wait and see.   

What's the current inflation rate of Monero? When does it drop below 4%?

Let's change that 12%

(8.2 * 60 * 24 * 365/18400000) * 100 = 23.4 % (per year) and declining

I am not worried about inflation rate at the moment. I am concerning about user adoption rate over time. Artificial high exchange rate for bitcoin + low user base is the easiest way to kill a cryptocurrency

https://bt.irlbtc.com/view/702140.msg8106443#msg8106443

Risto's emission #s followed by IntroVert adding daily inflation and rewards #s

The perception thing was a lose-lose game. If we changed the emission then, it would've looked bad. So we left it alone. But that will look bad in a few years from now when newcomers look back. But think about it: most people really don't know how money is created. They don't study the history and origin of the money they use. They just use it. If Monero is the same way, then the perception of the emission won't matter in a few years from now. People will just use it if they find it useful. People don't care about the origins of USD when they earn it today and spend it tomorrow.

I truly think it won't matter. The success of XMR won't hinge on the emission.

4% 365 = ~0.01096% day.

Spreadsheet says that should happen on 2019-06-29. Indeed, a ways off.

Note that current daily inflation is ~0.11942%, which *would* equal ~43.6% yearly, but the reward declines every block. So it's effectively less. In fact, my 4% calculation will end up being less as well.

Which means, we need to find the day when supply divided by supply 1 year later equals less than 1.04. *goes to look*

Edit: other way around....supply 1 year from date divided by current supply.

Edit2: found it: 2019-01-20, first day when supply 365 days later is less than 4% higher.

Edit3: extra credit. Instead of ~43.6%, we are now at ~31.7% yearly inflation due to declining supply. I should do something useful. -_-

Let's crunch some estimate numbers just for fun.

Monero has been alive for roughly 550 days and has a supply of 9.8m XMR - and a total market cap of 4.4m$
When Bitcoin was 550 days old (roughly) it had a supply of roughly 4m BTC and a total market cap of 300kusd. The price at that time was 0.08$ (after a moons-shot).
If BTC had the same price as XMR around 550 days we would be looking at more than a magnitude more than it was. Around 0.9usd$ - correlated for total emission).

So all we have to do and it is very easy is to extrapolate those numbers into the future. BTC had its biggest bubble after 4 years and 11 months with supply being around 12mio and price peaking around 1100. That means comparing the 4 years and 11 months in XMR the date is early 2019, where the supply is 17mio. Thusly - a price of 800$/XMR in early 2019.

But wuuuaaaiiitt.....wait a little - it was shown before that xmr prices were a magnitude above btc prices compared with time. So that's 8000$/XMR in 2019.

Heck. why not just make it 10,000$ in 2019. That's an even number.

There you go that was easy. Speculation indeed.